First impressions on hearing the list of nominees:
Good selection for Best Pic...I'm glad Atonement, No Country and Juno all made it (and I'm sure I'll be glad There Will Be Blood did too, once I see it).
Actor - doesn't really matter. DDL will walk this one.
Actress - no surprises (except perhaps Laura Linney in the little-seen The Savages, but she always rules so good for her). This will come down to Christie v. Cotillard (w/ maybe an outside chance for Page [hope, hope!]).
Sup Actor - doesn't really matter either. Bardem will walk this one.
Sup Actress - This is the most wide-open category for me. Early favorite Ryan could be trumped by ANY of them.
Director - I'm really glad to see Jason Reitman nominated, though I think the Coens will (deservedly) get it.
I'm sooo glad "Falling Slowly" from the movie Once got nominated. It's by far the best track on a tremendously good album...I hope Ratatouille loses everything - it sucked...I don't have a HUGE problem with McAvoy and Knightley missing out, though I think she deserved the nom more than he...go Sicko!!...WTF?!! No Diving Bell in the Foreign Film category?! The only reason I can think of was that it may have been considered by many to be a possible Best Picture nominee, but just didn't get enough votes to dislodge one of the others...do you realize we now have to say "the Oscar-nominated Norbit"!!!!...surprisingly, no nomination for Jonny Greenwood's TWBB soundtrack...I wish Amy Adams had been nominated for Enchanted.
I'll do a follow-up "Who I think should win, but who I think WILL win" post soon...